TODAY'S OUTLOOK ON GOLD (XAUUSD) H-1; DEC 16, 2025 | |
GOLD (XAUUSD) ANALYSIS DECEMBER 15-19, 2025
DESCRIPTION
This outlook provides a clear projection of the most likely price movements for Gold (XAUUSD) next week from 15th to 19th 2025.
ANALYSIS.
Monthly timeframe, Price has maintained a bullish bias since the monthly candlestick opened, technically supporting the continuation suggested by the prior two candlesticks. Elliott Wave analysis indicates an expected downside reversal during the formation of the anticipated fourth wave.
Weekly timeframe, The market structure is well-defined, with wave counts and a channel that price continues to respect. Price is currently at the upper boundary of the channel, signaling a high likelihood of a downside reversal.
Daily timeframe, Wave counts and key support/resistance levels are prominent. The current upside swing appears to form a complete five-wave move, with price approaching the historical high from October 29, 2025 where it previously reversed. This level is critical, as major dynamic and static resistance converge here.
Four-hour timeframe, The five-wave upside swing is evident, with the fifth wave likely complete. Notably, price has broken above the 4260 level, which serves as a pivotal threshold for determining the next directional move.
PRIMARY PROJECTION.
Consider selling Gold if price declines and breaks below the 4260 level with a confirmed close. Target prior support/resistance levels, starting with 4190 a break of which would bolster selling conviction.
